Jeb’s Timing

            Count me among those who think the Bush name is too toxic for Jeb! to ultimately overcome. But what you can’t prevent is the hindsight — not just speculation about the future — that inevitably accompanies any Bush family scenarios and subplots.

Jeb!, as we know, was the anointed one. The one who was Phi Beta Kappa, fluent in Spanish, an accomplished debater and an absolutely wonkish quick study. Plus, there was no alcohol or drug-abuse baggage. He was, as Paul Begala once said of Bill Clinton, typically the “smartest person in the room.”

Had he not been edged by Lawton Chiles in 1994 – Jeb! would have been in position (as a re-elected governor of a critical swing state) to make the 2000 race against Al Gore. Instead, it was his older brother George W., who had upset Ann Richards in ‘94 to become governor of Texas, who won the GOP nomination.

Had Jeb Bush run and won in 2000, say this: Ideology notwithstanding, he would have been smart enough, confident enough and egotistical enough to not outsource his opinions and judgment to any senior cabinet members. Especially when it came to the security and defense of the U.S.

Clique To Click

            Normally, Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, the 10-term Republican from South Florida’s 18th District, is known for her hardball politics and her Cuban-exile- community clique.

            For a while last week, she was nationally known for her click. As in the sound of a phone being summarily hung up. As in President-elect Barack Obama being on the other end of the line. As in Rahm Emanuel, Obama’s chief of staff, being on the other end of the next call.

It finally took yet another call – from Rep. Howard Berman, chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee — to persuade Ros-Lehtinen that Obama was really wanting to talk to her. And would try again. The third time was, if not the charm, at least the clincher.

            Ros-Lehtinen, in her defense, explained that she thought it was a hoax. That she was being “punked” by an Obama imitator. And in all fairness, such hoaxes – typically the work of talk-radio pranksters — are hardly unknown in the Miami area.

            Two points:

            First, if Obama is calling a foreign-policy obstructionist like Ros-Lehtinen, he’s truly serious about reaching across the aisle. Ros-Lehtinen is a major reach.

            Second, when it comes to hoaxes, this state and these United States have been getting punked for a generation by Ros-Lehtinen and her Cuban embargo-supporting, Congressional cohorts, Carlos and Lincoln Diaz-Balart. For them, the U.S. relationship with Cuba is personal. For them, what’s in the best interest of the United States is subordinate to what the Little Havana vendetta crowd wants.

Crist Defies Critics, Reality

            So, Gov. Charlie Crist remains incredibly popular. By last (survey) count – that of the ubiquitous Quinnipiac University Polling Institute – his approval rating was an astounding 68 percent.

            Which begs several questions:

*What would that number be if his fellow Floridians had actually seen their insurance rates and property tax bills “drop like a rock”?

*Exactly what percentage of that Quinnipiac sampling was comprised of still-feeling-giddy, kumbaya Democrats and felons with recently restored civil rights?

*Did we all mishear, or did Crist really once call himself a “Jeb Bush Republican?”

*Is “centrist” now a synonym for ideology-free, re-election strategy?

Put Civics To The Test

           If the FCAT remains a fact of Florida life, here’s hoping that we at least add civics to it. And to the federal No Child Left Behind evaluation while we’re at it. Apparently, that’s the only way to guarantee that a subject gets taught.

            And in the case of civics – which lacks the cachet and commercial relevance of subjects that directly correlate to success in the global marketplace – it needs teaching. And it’s just not a matter of embarrassing results from that recent report from the Intercollegiate Studies Institute. The ISI found (from a randomly-selected sampling of 2,500 citizens) that one in five elected officials thought the Electoral College “was established to supervise the first presidential debate” and one in three elected officials didn’t know that “life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness” are the inalienable rights so often referred to in the, whatcha-macallit, Declaration of Independence.

            It’s hardly a novel concept that the vitality – and, ultimately, longevity – of a democracy depends on an informed electorate. And that, candidly, gets scarier by the year. How do you hold your elected representatives accountable if you don’t do your due diligence? How do you best contribute to a free-market economy if your economic lodestars are limited to “greed is good” or “the state will provide”? How do you support the principles of “democracy” – especially as an extension of American foreign policy – if you’re ignorant of the basics? How is that not an exercise in hypocrisy? 

            And civics, lest we forget, is not just a bunch of rote-remembered bullet points – and shouldn’t be taught that way. Sure, it’s about the branches of government, the separation of powers and the lessons of the Cold War. But it’s about more than that. It’s about quotidian rights and responsibilities. Thomas Jefferson’s take on the value of public education still resonates today:

                        “The objects of primary education…are to instruct the mass of citizens in

            these: their rights, interests, and duties as men and citizens…to understand his

            duties to his neighbors and country, and to discharge with competence the

            functions confided to him by either.”

            “We the people” rings hollow if it’s euphemistic short hand for “We the uninformed people expecting the good life, sacrificing nothing and hoping for the best…” Teaching more civics is no panacea for a lazy democracy, but it holds out the hope that the more each new generation knows about how all this happened – and what’s precious about it – the better our future prospects. They’ve never been in greater peril.

Record Grad Rates

            We now know that Florida’s graduation rate climbed 3 percentage points in the last year. It now stands at a record 75.4 percent.

            In a written statement, Gov. Charlie Crist was moved to declare: “I am so proud of our schools, teachers, and students for this tremendous achievement.”

            I don’t mean to be a glass-is-a-quarter-empty guy, but aren’t we also noting that one in four Florida students still doesn’t graduate from high school? (But it’s one in five in Hillsborough County.) And Florida does count diluted GED-diplomas in the overall number. It also counts SAT scores (as low as 780) for those failing the FCAT at least three times.

            We seem, finally, to be heading in the right direction, but I think we should have held the applause a little longer.

Crist’s CYA Strategy

           Gov. Charlie Crist was rightly praised for extending the hours for early voting. It certainly wasn’t at the behest of GOP strategists.

However, sheer numbers, logistics and meaningful democracy demanded no less.

Maybe it’s a sign of poisonously partisan times when simply doing the right thing warrants such tribute. To political insiders, it’s certainly no surprise. The centrist governor, who is the favorite Republican of many Democrats, has always known how to Cover His Assets.

Re-election is in 2010 – and the opportunistic Crist will once again need more than traditional Republican votes and residual good will for helping John McCain re-energize his presidential campaign in Florida.

Amendment 2

            I have to agree with those who will vote No on Amendment 2, which would codify into the Constitution a ban on same-sex marriage. But I hadn’t expected to.

            Although some have argued otherwise, marriage is not some “evolving paradigm.” Not at its gendered core. Relationships evolve, of course, but not the institution in its most fundamental form. I’m still surprised, frankly, that needs stating.

            I thought former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney summed it up succinctly a couple of years ago. Marriage, he noted, is “rooted in the history, culture and tradition of civil society. It predates our Constitution and our nation by millennia. The institution of marriage was not created by government, and it should not be redefined by government.”

             But back to Amendment 2. If only it didn’t invalidate other unions — those which are the “substantial equivalent” of marriage. That’s a wording fraught with societal mischief by some future court. Just say no to such legal parsing.

“Fast” Track

            Gov. Charlie Crist is fast-tracking transportation projects as one way of addressing the economic downturn. As many as 40,000 related jobs could be jump-started by the scissoring of red tape.

            Only downside: we are reminded yet again that when we say “transportation,” we mean roads. This has nothing to do with mass transit.

A Candidate, A Plan, A DVD, A Test, A Tradition

          *Can Buddy Johnson, Hillsborough’s supervisor of elections, quit while he’s merely behind?

Publicly-chronicled personal and professional embarrassments (remember that “details”-challenged deposition?) might have induced a less, uh, determined candidate to step aside. Not incumbent Buddy who elects to press on — in notably high-profile fashion, no less.

In a campaign where the incumbent has been out fund-raised more than two-to-one by his opponent, Johnson has made news yet again. This time with print and electronic voter-education materials that prominently feature — Johnson. The less-than-nuanced brochure message: A vote for the larger-than-life Johnson equates to “A New Vote of Confidence” in the optical-scan machines.

No one is questioning the funding, per se. Most of it is from Help America Vote Act grants that try to prevent the sort of election debacles that, well, Florida is notorious for. But many see Johnson as unnecessarily eponymous with voting – and unnecessarily conspicuous

Arguably — and ironically — Johnson already has a high enough profile.

*Whatever the final details of the massive financial package negotiated in Washington, every member of Congress and the talking heads of cable television will have a ready take on what made it ultimately palatable – fiscally and politically. From higher limits on insured bank deposits to the visceral fright at seeing a trillion-dollar stock market plunge at the initial news of a non-deal.

But one key political tenet ultimately proved catalytic: When in doubt, (including those politicians who knew they would be against it before they were for it) go euphemistic. Except for those escaping in golden parachutes, nobody wanted anything to do with a “bailout,” which was code for “reward those who deserve the most blame – at the expense of those who deserve little or none.”

But once legislation started being referenced as a positive act of “rescue” and “recovery” — with their connotations of inclusion — it became politically viable.  

The psychology of semantics is not unlike abortion adherents or opponents preferring their “pro choice” or “pro life” labels or second-hand cars selling better as “pre-owned” rather than “used.” 

Once Congress bailed out of the bad rhetoric that precluded political cover and added enough sweeteners, not even Shrieker of the House Nancy Pelosi could prevent a deal.

*Not yet seen on bumper stickers: “Privatize Wealth, Socialize Debt.”

  “There are no atheists in foxholes nor libertarians in a financial meltdown.”

*WWMS? Imagine, the turbulence in the financial markets has yielded this from Liu Mingkang, chairman of the Chinese Banking Regulatory Commission: U.S. lending standards, noted Liu, had become “ridiculous.” China, he sagely pointed out, has been curbing mortgage lending amid a real estate boom in order to keep debt manageable. Added Liu: “When U.S. regulators were reducing the down payment to zero or they created so-called reverse mortgages, we thought that was ridiculous.” What Would Mao Say?

*By now, most folks have heard of – and many have seen – that  DVD about radical Islam that’s been bundled inside a number of newspapers, including the two major dailies in this market. The documentary, “Obsession: Radical Islam’s War Against The West,” analogizes contemporary radical Islam with pre-World War II Nazism. I had seen it last year when it caused a First Amendment furor at the University of Florida because of those “Radical Islam Wants You Dead” posters around campus.

A couple of points:

First, “Obsession” is what you would expect: heavy-handed, graphic, agenda-driven propaganda. But true enough to impact and scare. Had Michael Moore or Oliver Stone had this same point of view, they could have made “Obsession” – after including damning American foreign-policy context.

Second, it’s unseemly and insulting for the distributor, the Clarion Fund, to deny that it’s trying to influence the presidential election. We’re only a month out, and it’s specifically targeted to swing states, such as Florida, and key electoral demographics, such as Interstate 4-corridor independents. More fear-mongering, dark-side political pandering is not what an already polarizing election needs.

Third, “Obsession” unfortunately leads to an inevitable stereotyping of Muslims, the overwhelmingly majority of which are not radical jihadists. Or even close. But even a small percentage of a billion – who cherry pick the Koran for rationales to murder infidels and apostates — is no trifling number. Would that it were.

Fourth, “Obsession” ends with Edmund Burke’s famous quote: “The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.” It still applies.

*Oxymoron: “Country First”/Sarah Palin for Vice President.

*Here we go again. Another gathering of college admissions officials has stoked the argument over whether standardized tests (principally, the SAT) should be optional. In some institutions, that’s already the case. The other choice: Should they just be jettisoned altogether?

That’s because such tests can be imprecise; they can be culturally biased; and they can be skewed in favor of those taking test-prep courses.

Here’s another option. Make them mandatory – and keep evaluating their relevance in the context of the test-taker. As we know, the task of admissions officials can also be complicated — and undermined — by grade inflation. Not all curricula are created equal. Not all teachers have meaningful standards. There’s always a need for a more objective tool.

But weigh it; don’t overuse it; and don’t overreact to its inherent limits.

*Remember as a kid when a good Halloween fright usually meant scary music and some shadowy, cob-webbed ambience and probably a lurking zombie or a vampire?

I was reading about Florida’s theme parks the other day and all the investments they have to make in new scares to compete. To compete with each other – and with a popular culture that continually ratchets up gratuitous violence and gore.

Not to sound too impossibly old school, but I do feel for kids who can’t – or aren’t allowed to – be scared by goblins and black cats and graveyards. No, you now need at least a psychopath with a chain saw simulating dismemberment.

Boo.

Tax Swap Ploy

Even though a Leon County Circuit judge has tossed the proposed “tax swap” off the November ballot for being misleading, there is one key aspect to the proposed amendment that remains abundantly clear.

Arguably, it was the only way to resurrect one of this state’s “third rail” political issues: special interest tax exemptions, including services. Amendment 5 would have eliminated the property tax portion of school funding and forced lawmakers to choose ways to replace it. The mix of options would have included sales tax exemption repeals.

Ever since it cost Gov. Bob Martinez a re-election, it has been a political non-starter. It still is.